After a 3-week long build up, the stacked card that is UFC 211 is finally upon us.
Before we take a look at the odds for both the prelims and the main card, along with predictions for the pay-per-view, I will break down my predictions from UFC Nashville.
Alexis Davis started off the success picking up the unanimous decision over Cindy Dandois, generating a solid $15 dollar profit. The second selection of Ellenberger vs. Perry over 1.5 rounds also came in, getting us just over $10 in profit from a $15 stake.
The clean sweep was not achieved at Nashville due to Joe Lauzon and Stevie Ray battling it out for the full three rounds, losing us the parlay also involving Saint Preux and De Lima. Leaving us with a $20 dollar profit at the end of the night.
The American Airlines Center in Dallas will welcome the likes of Stipe Miocic, Junior Dos Santos, Joanna Jerdzejczyk, Damian Maia. Along with many more high-profile fighters looking to impress come Saturday night.
UFC 211 Prelims Odds
Gadzhimurad Antigulov (-400) vs. Joachim Christensen (+325)
Chase Sherman (-145) vs. Rashad Coulter (+125)
Jared Gordon (-145) vs. Michel Quinones (+125)
Enrique Barzola (+160) vs. Gabriel Benitez (-185)
Chas Skelly (-125) vs. Jason Knight (+105)
David Branch (+125) vs. Krzysztof Jotko (-145)
Courtney Casey (-130) vs. Jessica Aguilar (+110)
James Vick (-420) vs. Marco Polo Reyes (+335)
Dustin Poirier (-125) vs. Eddie Alvarez (+105)
Is it Worth the Risk?
With 9 fights in total on the prelims there is definitely some money to be made, but also chance for some to be lost with a number of intriguing match-ups taking place. #12 ranked Jessica Aguilar takes on Cortney Casey on the UFC Fight Pass Prelims on Saturday night.
With Casey being just the -130 favourite for the bout after only losing to former title challenger Claudia Gadelha since 2016. There could be some space to squeeze a few dollars from this bout. ”Cast Iron” has picked up two first-round victories over Randa Markos and Cristina Stanciu towards the end of last year.
The final fight of the prelims sees two huge stars within the lightweight division collide. Dustin Poirier takes on former 155-pound champion Eddie Alvarez in what is expected to steal the televised portion of the prelim card. ”The Diamond” comes into the fight as a -125 favourite against the former champ on the back of a decision win against Jim Miller.
It goes without saying that this could be Poirier’s night and a huge turning point in his career. Although he has picked up wins against notable names in the past none of them matches the magnitude of Alvarez’s, especially if the Louisiana native was able to pick up the win.
For Alvarez this is his chance to get back into title contention after he was picked apart by McGregor last November. With Alvarez being the slight underdog (+105) going into the match-up I feel a stake on the ”Underground King” would not be a bad choice. Alvarez getting his hand raised after the 15 minutes is also an option to kick-start the night’s bank account, currently at +225.
UFC 211 Main Card Odds
Henry Cejudo (-425) vs. Sergio Pettis (+340)
Frankie Edgar (-135) vs. Yair Rodriguez (+115)
Demian Maia (+110) vs. Jorge Masvidal (-130)
Jessica Andrade (+135) vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk (-155)
Junior Dos Santos (+110) vs. Stipe Miocic (-130)
Show Me the Money
The style-clash match-up between featherweight’s Frankie Edgar and Yair Rodriguez will definitely have a few bookmakers on the edge of their seats. With the two being so evenly matched I see potential to get some cash from Edgar, being just a slight favourite. A straight stake on Edgar at -135 for the night is a solid choice. Although if you can see Edgar producing a wrestling masterclass on the prospect come Saturday, Edgar via decision currently sits at +120.
”Styles make fights” can definitely be said about Demian Maia and Jorge Masvidal going toe-to-toe this weekend.
More from Opinion
The Brazilian has made it look easy on the six-fight win streak he is carrying into this fight. Sticking to what he’s known for picking up 3 submissions in his last 4 bouts.
I believe Maia will clear the final hurdle to what should be the welterweight title. This being more good news that he is just a slight underdog currently sitting at +110. +225 are the odds on Maia submitting Masvidal which look a lot more appealing if you are as confident as I am in Maia’s ground game against Jorge.
The co-main event see’s strawweight champion Joanna Jedrzejczky take on Jessica Andrade, with many looking at the size advantage Andrade will have over the champion. This being the first time Joanna has fought a power puncher like Andrade, may be the reason her odds are drastically lower than before her previous title defences.
I feel Joanna at -155 is still a great choice to close out the night with. If you see the contest going into the later rounds there is also good money in the over 3.5 rounds selection, currently at -175.
The night closes out with Stipe Miocic hoping to defend his heavyweight title for the second time, this time against Junior Dos Santos. With Miocic being the slight favourite at -130 I don’t feel the risk in comparison to the money that could be made would be worth in this contest. Although there is value in the selection of the fight not going the distance, currently at -227. This could be a solid way to close out the event if you suspect a finish in the 5 round fight.
UFC 211 Trio
Frankie Edgar to Win: $10 returns $17.40
Parlay: Frankie Edgar via Decision & Demian Maia via Submission: $5 returns $35.75
Stipe Miocic vs. Junior Dos Santos Not to Go the Distance: $20 returns $27.30